FootscoutAI
Spiele
FootscoutAI
Hoch 90
Fußball / Premier League / Spielvorschau

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC

Datenbasierte Pre-Match-Intelligence. Öffentliche Inhalte nur auf Englisch.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League
Arsenal FC
VS
18 May, 19:00
Modell-Ergebnistendenz: 3-1
Vertrauen: High
Burnley FC

$ 1X2 Quoten

Arsenal FC
1.09
X
11.82
Burnley FC
27.10

G Tor-Märkte

Over 1.5
89%
model
Over 2.5
1.39
Under 2.5
3.00
BTTS Yes
60%
model

MV Modell vs Markt

no clear value
ErgebnisQuoteMarkt %Modell %Edge
Arsenal FCam wahrscheinlichsten1.0988%86%-2.7
X11.828%10%+2.1
Burnley FC27.104%4%+0.6

Das wahrscheinlichste Ergebnis ist das, was unser Modell erwartet. Ein Value-Ansatz erscheint nur, wenn die Modellwahrscheinlichkeit die implizite Marktwahrscheinlichkeit um mindestens 3 Prozentpunkte übersteigt.

OM Quotenbewegung

50 Aufnahmen
ErgebnisEröffnungAktuellBewegung
Arsenal FC1.111.11stabil
Draw14.0012.60fallend 10.0%
Burnley FC32.0030.00fallend 6.3%

Fallende Quoten zeigen, dass der Markt sich auf dieses Ergebnis bewegt. Steigende Quoten deuten auf abnehmendes Vertrauen hin.

CX Vertrauens-Erklärung

Vertrauen highDaten high
Unterstützend
  • +bookmaker odds available
  • +standings available
  • +team stats available
  • +recent form available
  • +odds movement available
Fehlend
  • -confirmed lineups unavailable
  • -injury/news data unavailable

DT Datentransparenz

Hoch 90
Spiele-Anbieter
footballdata
Quoten-Anbieter
The Odds API
Buchmacher
Matchbook
Quotenformat
decimal
Aufnahmen
50
Analyse erstellt
17/05/2026, 20:55
Letzte Aktualisierung
18/05/2026, 12:00
Anpfiff
18/05/2026, 19:00
Verfügbar: fixtures, odds, standings, team_stats.

Arsenal FC

Form letzte 5
LLWWW
PPS
2.194
Heim-PPS
2.444
Auswärts-PPS
1.944
Heim Tore/Spiel
2.222
Heim Gegentore/Spiel
0.611
Ausw. Tore/Spiel
1.556
Ausw. Gegentore/Spiel
0.833
Tore
68
Gegentore
26
S/U/N
24/7/5

Burnley FC

Form letzte 5
LLLLD
PPS
0.583
Heim-PPS
0.667
Auswärts-PPS
0.5
Heim Tore/Spiel
0.944
Heim Gegentore/Spiel
1.556
Ausw. Tore/Spiel
1.111
Ausw. Gegentore/Spiel
2.5
Tore
37
Gegentore
73
S/U/N
4/9/23

AI Spiel-Intelligence

Risiko medium

Arsenal FC is currently at the top of the Premier League with 79 points, while Burnley FC sits in the relegation zone with only 21 points. Arsenal's recent form shows a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 2.222 goals per match. However, Burnley's desperate need for points could lead to an unpredictable performance.

Arsenal FC 86%
Draw 10%
Burnley FC 4%
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
60%

Basierend auf: standings, team_stats, odds, form.

Vollständige KI-Reports sind derzeit auf Englisch verfügbar.

A Vollständige Analyse

Arsenal FC leads the Premier League with 79 points from 36 matches, showcasing a strong record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. Their goal differential of +42, with 68 goals scored and only 26 conceded, highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. In contrast, Burnley FC is struggling at the bottom of the table with just 21 points, having won only 4 matches all season. Their defensive issues are evident, conceding 73 goals, resulting in a -36 goal differential. Recent form shows Arsenal winning 3 of their last 5 matches while Burnley has lost their last 5 games, indicating a stark contrast in momentum.

H Heim-Motivation - High

Arsenal is fighting for the title and needs to secure points.

A Auswärts-Motivation - High

Burnley is in a relegation battle and must earn points to survive.

P Markt-Tipps

  • 1X2: Home Win
    Value-AnsatzHigh

    Arsenal's home win probability of 85.59% significantly exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability.

  • Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
    Value-AnsatzMedium

    The estimated probability of 75% for over 2.5 goals is higher than the bookmaker's implied odds.

V Value-Ansätze

  • Top-vs-bottom motivation gapRisiko medium

    Arsenal's title chase against Burnley's relegation fight creates a significant motivation disparity, likely favoring Arsenal.

  • Defensive fragility of BurnleyRisiko medium

    Burnley's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away match, which could lead to Arsenal exploiting this weakness.

C Eckball-Analyse

Arsenal's attacking style and high goals-per-match average suggest they will generate a significant number of corners. Burnley's defensive struggles may also lead to corner opportunities for Arsenal, especially if they dominate possession.

K Karten-Analyse

With the stakes high for both teams, particularly for Burnley in their relegation battle, this match could see an increased number of cards. The pressure of the situation and the potential for aggressive play may lead to a higher disciplinary count.

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