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Fútbol / Premier League / Previa del partido

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC

Inteligencia prepartido basada en datos. Contenido público solo en inglés.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League
Arsenal FC
VS
18 May, 19:00
Marcador estimado del modelo: 3-1
Confianza: High
Burnley FC

$ Cuotas 1X2

Arsenal FC
1.09
X
11.82
Burnley FC
27.10

G Mercados de goles

Over 1.5
89%
model
Over 2.5
1.39
Under 2.5
3.00
BTTS Yes
60%
model

MV Modelo vs Mercado

no clear value
ResultadoCuotaMercado %Modelo %Edge
Arsenal FCmás probable1.0988%86%-2.7
X11.828%10%+2.1
Burnley FC27.104%4%+0.6

El resultado más probable es lo que nuestro modelo predice. Un ángulo de valor aparece solo cuando la probabilidad del modelo supera la probabilidad implícita del mercado en al menos 3 puntos porcentuales.

OM Movimiento de cuotas

50 registros
ResultadoAperturaActualMovimiento
Arsenal FC1.111.11estable
Draw14.0012.60bajando 10.0%
Burnley FC32.0030.00bajando 6.3%

Cuotas a la baja indican que el mercado se mueve hacia ese resultado. Cuotas al alza indican confianza debilitándose.

CX Explicación de la confianza

confianza highdatos high
A favor
  • +bookmaker odds available
  • +standings available
  • +team stats available
  • +recent form available
  • +odds movement available
Faltante
  • -confirmed lineups unavailable
  • -injury/news data unavailable

DT Transparencia de datos

Alta 90
Proveedor partidos
footballdata
Proveedor cuotas
The Odds API
Casa de apuestas
Matchbook
Formato cuotas
decimal
Registros
50
Análisis generado
17/05/2026, 20:55
Última actualización
18/05/2026, 12:00
Saque inicial
18/05/2026, 19:00
Disponible: fixtures, odds, standings, team_stats.

Arsenal FC

Forma últimos 5
LLWWW
PPP
2.194
PPP local
2.444
PPP visitante
1.944
GF local/partido
2.222
GC local/partido
0.611
GF visit./partido
1.556
GC visit./partido
0.833
Goles a favor
68
Goles en contra
26
G/E/P
24/7/5

Burnley FC

Forma últimos 5
LLLLD
PPP
0.583
PPP local
0.667
PPP visitante
0.5
GF local/partido
0.944
GC local/partido
1.556
GF visit./partido
1.111
GC visit./partido
2.5
Goles a favor
37
Goles en contra
73
G/E/P
4/9/23

AI Inteligencia del partido

riesgo medium

Arsenal FC is currently at the top of the Premier League with 79 points, while Burnley FC sits in the relegation zone with only 21 points. Arsenal's recent form shows a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 2.222 goals per match. However, Burnley's desperate need for points could lead to an unpredictable performance.

Arsenal FC 86%
Draw 10%
Burnley FC 4%
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
60%

Basado en: standings, team_stats, odds, form.

Los informes IA completos están actualmente disponibles en inglés.

A Análisis completo

Arsenal FC leads the Premier League with 79 points from 36 matches, showcasing a strong record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. Their goal differential of +42, with 68 goals scored and only 26 conceded, highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. In contrast, Burnley FC is struggling at the bottom of the table with just 21 points, having won only 4 matches all season. Their defensive issues are evident, conceding 73 goals, resulting in a -36 goal differential. Recent form shows Arsenal winning 3 of their last 5 matches while Burnley has lost their last 5 games, indicating a stark contrast in momentum.

H Motivación local - High

Arsenal is fighting for the title and needs to secure points.

A Motivación visitante - High

Burnley is in a relegation battle and must earn points to survive.

P Selecciones de mercado

  • 1X2: Home Win
    Ángulo de valorHigh

    Arsenal's home win probability of 85.59% significantly exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability.

  • Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
    Ángulo de valorMedium

    The estimated probability of 75% for over 2.5 goals is higher than the bookmaker's implied odds.

V Ángulos de valor

  • Top-vs-bottom motivation gapriesgo medium

    Arsenal's title chase against Burnley's relegation fight creates a significant motivation disparity, likely favoring Arsenal.

  • Defensive fragility of Burnleyriesgo medium

    Burnley's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away match, which could lead to Arsenal exploiting this weakness.

C Análisis de córners

Arsenal's attacking style and high goals-per-match average suggest they will generate a significant number of corners. Burnley's defensive struggles may also lead to corner opportunities for Arsenal, especially if they dominate possession.

K Análisis de tarjetas

With the stakes high for both teams, particularly for Burnley in their relegation battle, this match could see an increased number of cards. The pressure of the situation and the potential for aggressive play may lead to a higher disciplinary count.

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18+ | Juega de forma responsable. Las predicciones son probabilísticas y no garantizan ningún resultado. Este contenido es solo informativo y de entretenimiento. Nunca apuestes más de lo que puedes permitirte perder.

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