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FootscoutAI
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Calcio / Premier League / Preview Partita

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC

Intelligence pre-partita basata sui dati. Contenuto pubblico solo in inglese.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League
Arsenal FC
VS
18 May, 19:00
Punteggio stimato dal modello: 3-1
Confidenza: High
Burnley FC

$ Quote 1X2

Arsenal FC
1.09
X
11.82
Burnley FC
27.10

G Mercati gol

Over 1.5
89%
model
Over 2.5
1.39
Under 2.5
3.00
BTTS Yes
60%
model

MV Modello vs Mercato

no clear value
EsitoQuotaMercato %Modello %Edge
Arsenal FCpiù probabile1.0988%86%-2.7
X11.828%10%+2.1
Burnley FC27.104%4%+0.6

L'esito più probabile è quello che il modello prevede. L'angolo di valore appare solo quando la probabilità del modello supera quella implicita del mercato di almeno 3 punti percentuali.

OM Movimento quote

50 rilevazioni
EsitoAperturaAttualeMovimento
Arsenal FC1.111.11stabile
Draw14.0012.60in calo 10.0%
Burnley FC32.0030.00in calo 6.3%

Le quote in calo indicano che il mercato si sta muovendo verso quell'esito. Le quote in salita indicano fiducia in calo.

CX Spiegazione confidenza

confidenza highdati high
A favore
  • +bookmaker odds available
  • +standings available
  • +team stats available
  • +recent form available
  • +odds movement available
Mancante
  • -confirmed lineups unavailable
  • -injury/news data unavailable

DT Trasparenza dati

Alta 90
Provider partite
footballdata
Provider quote
The Odds API
Bookmaker
Matchbook
Formato quote
decimal
Rilevazioni
50
Analisi generata
17/05/2026, 20:55
Ultimo aggiornamento
18/05/2026, 12:00
Calcio d'inizio
18/05/2026, 19:00
Disponibile: fixtures, odds, standings, team_stats.

Arsenal FC

Forma ultime 5
LLWWW
PPG
2.194
PPG in casa
2.444
PPG in trasferta
1.944
Gol fatti casa/partita
2.222
Gol subiti casa/partita
0.611
Gol fatti trasf./partita
1.556
Gol subiti trasf./partita
0.833
Gol fatti
68
Gol subiti
26
V/N/P
24/7/5

Burnley FC

Forma ultime 5
LLLLD
PPG
0.583
PPG in casa
0.667
PPG in trasferta
0.5
Gol fatti casa/partita
0.944
Gol subiti casa/partita
1.556
Gol fatti trasf./partita
1.111
Gol subiti trasf./partita
2.5
Gol fatti
37
Gol subiti
73
V/N/P
4/9/23

AI Intelligence partita

rischio medium

Arsenal FC is currently at the top of the Premier League with 79 points, while Burnley FC sits in the relegation zone with only 21 points. Arsenal's recent form shows a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 2.222 goals per match. However, Burnley's desperate need for points could lead to an unpredictable performance.

Arsenal FC 86%
Draw 10%
Burnley FC 4%
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
60%

Basato su: standings, team_stats, odds, form.

I report AI completi sono attualmente disponibili in inglese.

A Analisi completa

Arsenal FC leads the Premier League with 79 points from 36 matches, showcasing a strong record of 24 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. Their goal differential of +42, with 68 goals scored and only 26 conceded, highlights their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. In contrast, Burnley FC is struggling at the bottom of the table with just 21 points, having won only 4 matches all season. Their defensive issues are evident, conceding 73 goals, resulting in a -36 goal differential. Recent form shows Arsenal winning 3 of their last 5 matches while Burnley has lost their last 5 games, indicating a stark contrast in momentum.

H Motivazione casa - High

Arsenal is fighting for the title and needs to secure points.

A Motivazione trasferta - High

Burnley is in a relegation battle and must earn points to survive.

P Selezioni di mercato

  • 1X2: Home Win
    Angolo di valoreHigh

    Arsenal's home win probability of 85.59% significantly exceeds the bookmaker's implied probability.

  • Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
    Angolo di valoreMedium

    The estimated probability of 75% for over 2.5 goals is higher than the bookmaker's implied odds.

V Angoli di valore

  • Top-vs-bottom motivation gaprischio medium

    Arsenal's title chase against Burnley's relegation fight creates a significant motivation disparity, likely favoring Arsenal.

  • Defensive fragility of Burnleyrischio medium

    Burnley's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per away match, which could lead to Arsenal exploiting this weakness.

C Analisi corner

Arsenal's attacking style and high goals-per-match average suggest they will generate a significant number of corners. Burnley's defensive struggles may also lead to corner opportunities for Arsenal, especially if they dominate possession.

K Analisi cartellini

With the stakes high for both teams, particularly for Burnley in their relegation battle, this match could see an increased number of cards. The pressure of the situation and the potential for aggressive play may lead to a higher disciplinary count.

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18+ | Gioca responsabilmente. Le previsioni sono probabilistiche e non garantiscono alcun risultato. Questo contenuto è solo a scopo informativo e di intrattenimento. Non giocare mai più di quanto puoi permetterti di perdere.

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